SPY Model Results | Almonte Technology

Opening model / 30 minutes 52.0% lower

Expected move −0.008% · Target 744.60

Direction validation: 62.2% BA · 66.7% AUC · n=25

Jul 31 · 9:29 ET · Reference 744.66 · Expired · Retrospective reconstruction

Opening model / 60 minutes 62.6% higher

Expected move +0.037% · Target 744.94

Direction validation: 66.0% BA · 74.6% AUC · n=30

Jul 31 · 9:29 ET · Reference 744.66 · Expired · Retrospective reconstruction

Primary intraday / 30 minutes 58.4% lower

Expected move −0.040% · Target 744.33

Direction validation: 71.1% BA · 75.3% AUC · n=25 · Magnitude + target failed validation

Jul 31 · 1:00 ET · Reference 744.62 · Expired · Prospective shadow

Primary intraday / 60 minutes 64.1% higher

Magnitude unavailable at latest checkpoint

Direction validation: 80.2% BA · 84.7% AUC · n=25 · Magnitude unavailable

Jul 31 · 3:00 ET · Reference 746.16 · Expired · Primary experimental

SPY results